Marsaskala vs Victoria Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
8.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsaskala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 1
MQA
54%
23%
23%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
MDI
1 - 1
MAR
26%
25%
49%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
MAR
3 - 3
SAN
39%
24%
37%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
SIG
1 - 1
MAR
35%
25%
40%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 2
KIR
69%
19%
13%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Victoria Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
GZI
1 - 0
VIC
84%
11%
5%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | 0 |