Marsala vs Sarnese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
53.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
RAA
1 - 0
MAR
69%
18%
13%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 1
DTO
26%
25%
49%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -2 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
GEL
0 - 0
MAR
54%
22%
24%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 0
NOT
30%
24%
46%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +3 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
REG
1 - 1
MAR
77%
15%
8%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Sarnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
SAR
3 - 2
REN
52%
24%
24%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
VIG
1 - 1
SAR
24%
26%
50%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
SAR
1 - 1
CAV
38%
25%
38%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
LEO
0 - 0
SAR
39%
26%
35%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
SAR
4 - 0
ROC
48%
24%
28%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |