Marsala vs Rende analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
28%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
42.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
VIG
3 - 0
MAR
41%
27%
32%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 0
CAV
16%
23%
61%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | +3 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
LEO
0 - 0
MAR
55%
23%
22%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 2
ROC
27%
23%
50%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SAR
0 - 0
MAR
65%
21%
15%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Rende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
REN
1 - 0
VIG
57%
24%
19%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
CAV
0 - 3
REN
73%
17%
10%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
REN
1 - 1
LEO
48%
24%
28%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ROC
1 - 1
REN
54%
22%
24%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
RAA
0 - 0
REN
56%
25%
19%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |