Marsala vs Reggina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
55.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
AGR
1 - 0
MAR
59%
21%
20%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 0
PAL
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
SCO
1 - 3
MAR
33%
24%
43%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 2
GRA
40%
24%
36%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
NFR
3 - 1
MAR
71%
18%
11%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
REG
2 - 1
REN
65%
22%
14%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
VIG
1 - 1
REG
22%
24%
55%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
REG
0 - 2
CAV
45%
26%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -2 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
LEO
3 - 2
REG
30%
26%
45%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
REG
3 - 0
ROC
68%
20%
12%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | +1 |