Marsala vs Palmese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
32.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
USC
1 - 4
MAR
44%
24%
33%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 0
CIT
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
ACI
0 - 1
MAR
45%
26%
30%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 0
LOC
48%
23%
30%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
FCI
1 - 1
MAR
56%
22%
23%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Palmese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
PAL
3 - 0
MES
50%
25%
25%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 0
PAL
83%
14%
4%
|
33 | 67 | 34 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
PAL
0 - 0
ROT
77%
14%
9%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 1
PAL
31%
23%
46%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
PAL
2 - 1
ASD
40%
23%
37%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |