Marsala vs Palermo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.1%
Win probability
0.27
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.1%
+2
0.4%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
0.7%
3-2
0.1%
+1
3.6%
17%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
<0%
0
17%
78.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
21%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
27%
0-2
20.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.2%
-2
24.6%
0-3
13.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
15.5%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.2%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2019 |
TUR
3 - 0
MAR
58%
22%
20%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 1
POR
35%
25%
40%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
NOC
1 - 0
MAR
40%
26%
35%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 0
ASD
36%
25%
39%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
POR
2 - 0
MAR
39%
23%
38%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2019 |
PAL
2 - 2
CTT
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
ASC
1 - 2
PAL
28%
26%
46%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
PAL
2 - 2
SPE
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
LIV
2 - 2
PAL
17%
25%
59%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2019 |
PAL
1 - 1
PAD
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |