Marsala vs Cosenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
59.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
MES
1 - 3
MAR
61%
22%
17%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 2
NIS
43%
26%
31%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ACP
2 - 0
MAR
50%
23%
27%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 1
VAL
46%
25%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ACI
1 - 1
MAR
47%
25%
28%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cosenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
NUO
1 - 1
ACP
73%
18%
9%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
NUO
1 - 1
CIT
76%
16%
8%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ACI
1 - 1
NUO
17%
23%
60%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
NUO
1 - 2
ASD
74%
18%
9%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
ASD
0 - 1
NUO
22%
24%
54%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |