Marsala vs Gragnano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
35.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
NFR
3 - 1
MAR
71%
18%
11%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 4
USV
50%
24%
26%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
SIR
2 - 2
MAR
81%
14%
5%
|
34 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
REN
2 - 0
MAR
49%
24%
27%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
MAR
4 - 0
VIG
45%
24%
31%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Gragnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
GRA
1 - 1
REN
43%
24%
33%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
VIG
1 - 1
GRA
40%
24%
36%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
GRA
1 - 2
CAV
28%
24%
48%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
GRA
1 - 1
LEO
41%
23%
36%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ROC
1 - 1
GRA
44%
23%
33%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |