Marsala vs Real Giulianova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
30.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
BEN
3 - 0
MAR
66%
20%
15%
|
35 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
MAR
0 - 0
PAL
23%
27%
50%
|
34 | 62 | 28 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
ASC
5 - 0
MAR
77%
16%
7%
|
35 | 65 | 30 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
MAR
2 - 1
LOD
28%
25%
48%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | +3 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
CRO
2 - 0
MAR
80%
14%
6%
|
32 | 63 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Real Giulianova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
GIU
1 - 1
LOD
36%
25%
39%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
FIA
1 - 1
GIU
73%
18%
9%
|
37 | 61 | 24 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
GIU
1 - 0
AVE
20%
25%
55%
|
35 | 63 | 28 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
BEN
1 - 0
GIU
70%
18%
12%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1999 |
GIU
0 - 2
VIT
31%
25%
45%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |