Marsala vs Castel Sangro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
52.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
CAT
1 - 1
MAR
53%
23%
24%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
MAR
0 - 1
ARZ
27%
26%
46%
|
35 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
FIA
2 - 2
MAR
71%
19%
10%
|
34 | 59 | 25 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
MAR
0 - 1
ANC
13%
22%
65%
|
34 | 67 | 33 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
NOC
4 - 0
MAR
59%
23%
19%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Castel Sangro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
CAS
1 - 0
BEN
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
AVE
2 - 1
CAS
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
CAS
1 - 2
GIU
71%
19%
11%
|
62 | 40 | 22 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
CAS
1 - 2
PAL
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
GUA
0 - 1
CAS
26%
27%
47%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |