Marsala vs Benevento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
42.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
PAL
3 - 1
MAR
69%
20%
11%
|
37 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
MAR
0 - 2
ASC
20%
24%
56%
|
37 | 64 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2000 |
LOD
1 - 2
MAR
54%
23%
23%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
MAR
0 - 1
CRO
20%
25%
56%
|
37 | 65 | 28 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
CAT
5 - 0
MAR
61%
22%
17%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
BEN
2 - 2
JUS
42%
27%
31%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
FIA
1 - 1
BEN
49%
26%
24%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
GIU
0 - 0
BEN
37%
26%
37%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
BEN
1 - 1
ASC
26%
26%
48%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
ANC
1 - 1
BEN
79%
14%
7%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |