Marsala vs Rotonda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 0
NOC
36%
26%
38%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
ASD
1 - 0
MAR
50%
23%
28%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 0
POR
53%
23%
25%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
GEL
2 - 2
MAR
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 2
PAL
42%
26%
33%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Rotonda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
MES
0 - 0
ROT
82%
11%
6%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
ROT
1 - 2
BAR
10%
21%
69%
|
21 | 67 | 46 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 1
ROT
71%
17%
12%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
ROC
1 - 0
ROT
70%
17%
13%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
ROT
1 - 2
FCI
30%
23%
47%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |