Marsala vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.9%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
5%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
0
21.5%
69.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
19.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28%
0-2
16.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
CCI
0 - 0
MAR
38%
23%
39%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
MAR
4 - 1
SAN
49%
23%
28%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
MES
3 - 2
MAR
72%
17%
11%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 0
ROC
32%
26%
42%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ROT
1 - 0
MAR
43%
23%
35%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 0
TUR
84%
13%
3%
|
68 | 32 | 36 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
FCI
0 - 3
BAR
10%
25%
65%
|
68 | 36 | 32 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
BAR
3 - 0
CCI
82%
13%
4%
|
68 | 24 | 44 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 1
USB
87%
10%
3%
|
68 | 35 | 33 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
BAR
4 - 1
SAN
82%
14%
4%
|
68 | 25 | 43 | 0 |