Marsala vs Locri 1909 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
29.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
FCI
1 - 1
MAR
56%
22%
23%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 0
TUR
38%
26%
36%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 1
BAR
9%
22%
70%
|
27 | 67 | 40 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
CCI
0 - 0
MAR
38%
23%
39%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
MAR
4 - 1
SAN
49%
23%
28%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Locri 1909
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
LOC
0 - 0
MES
41%
23%
35%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
BAR
3 - 0
LOC
80%
15%
6%
|
26 | 67 | 41 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
LOC
3 - 0
ROT
66%
18%
17%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
SAN
3 - 1
LOC
37%
23%
41%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
LOC
3 - 0
ASD
24%
21%
56%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +3 |