Marquense vs Zacapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
RET
0 - 0
LEO
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
LEO
0 - 3
MUN
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
LEO
2 - 2
CHI
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
HAL
0 - 0
LEO
56%
23%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
LEO
1 - 0
VEN
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Zacapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
ZAC
1 - 4
VEN
42%
27%
32%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
RET
2 - 0
ZAC
60%
22%
17%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ZAC
2 - 2
MUN
40%
27%
33%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
CON
2 - 1
ZAC
53%
26%
21%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
ZAC
2 - 1
TOR
38%
27%
35%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |