Marquense vs Universidad San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
25.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
ANT
2 - 4
LEO
46%
28%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
COM
2 - 2
LEO
51%
26%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
LEO
2 - 0
GUA
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
DEP
2 - 1
LEO
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
LEO
1 - 1
COB
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Universidad San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 0
GUA
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 0
CHI
55%
24%
22%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ANT
1 - 0
UNI
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 1
TOR
50%
25%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 1
CON
50%
24%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |