Marquense vs Universidad San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
28.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
HER
4 - 0
LEO
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
LEO
1 - 3
CHI
51%
25%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
COM
1 - 1
LEO
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
CON
1 - 1
LEO
44%
29%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
LEO
0 - 0
TOR
54%
25%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Universidad San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 0
MUN
56%
24%
19%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
VEN
1 - 0
UNI
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 0
IZT
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
COA
3 - 2
UNI
44%
26%
30%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 1
HER
52%
24%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |