Marquense vs Universidad San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
23.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2013 |
COM
0 - 0
LEO
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
LEO
4 - 1
DEP
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
TOR
1 - 0
LEO
54%
26%
21%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
MUN
0 - 1
LEO
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
LEO
4 - 0
CHI
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Universidad San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 0
CHI
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
CON
1 - 0
UNI
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 0
HAL
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
ESC
2 - 1
UNI
46%
25%
29%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 2
VEN
50%
25%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |