Marquense vs Municipal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
32%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
+52%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
6º
10º
10º
13
1º
9º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
13 | 27 |
1º
|
26.5% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 25 |
2º
|
9.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 25 |
3º
|
9.5% | |
|
1º
|
14 | 25 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 24 |
5º
|
7.5% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 24 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
5º
|
12 | 23 |
7º
|
7% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 23 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 18 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
9 | 17 |
10º
|
25.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 15 |
11º
|
34.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 12 |
12º
|
59.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
3% | 69% |
|
Mid-table
|
97% | 31% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LEO
2 - 0
MIX
44%
28%
28%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
CHI
3 - 1
LEO
56%
26%
18%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
DJC
0 - 0
LEO
30%
24%
46%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
LEO
2 - 0
DJC
60%
20%
20%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
VEN
3 - 2
LEO
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
MUN
0 - 0
TOR
53%
23%
24%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
MIX
0 - 0
MUN
39%
29%
33%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
MUN
2 - 0
MIX
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
MIX
0 - 0
MUN
41%
28%
31%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
MUN
3 - 0
COM
52%
24%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |