Marquense vs Municipal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
21.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
LEO
0 - 0
DEP
47%
25%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 0
LEO
47%
28%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
LEO
0 - 1
COB
60%
23%
18%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 0
LEO
49%
27%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CON
0 - 0
LEO
37%
30%
33%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
MUN
0 - 3
GUA
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2015 |
VEN
0 - 2
MUN
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
MUN
0 - 0
CHI
51%
24%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 4
MUN
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
RSL
1 - 0
MUN
65%
22%
13%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |