Marquense vs Municipal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
20.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
COA
1 - 1
LEO
40%
29%
31%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
COM
2 - 1
LEO
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
LEO
0 - 0
ANT
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
HAL
2 - 2
LEO
49%
27%
24%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
LEO
3 - 0
DEP
52%
24%
23%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
MUN
1 - 1
COM
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
TOR
1 - 0
MUN
50%
27%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 1
MUN
53%
26%
21%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
MUN
1 - 0
VEN
51%
25%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 1
MUN
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |