Marquense vs Municipal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
20%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 0
LEO
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
LEO
1 - 0
DEP
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 1
LEO
41%
29%
30%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2014 |
LEO
1 - 0
ANT
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2014 |
CHI
0 - 1
LEO
54%
25%
22%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
MUN
3 - 1
VEN
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
COA
0 - 1
MUN
50%
27%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
MUN
5 - 1
HAL
49%
24%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2014 |
TOR
2 - 1
MUN
50%
27%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 1
MUN
58%
24%
19%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |