Marquense vs Municipal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2014 |
VEN
1 - 1
LEO
56%
24%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
LEO
2 - 1
IZT
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
UNI
5 - 0
LEO
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
LEO
3 - 1
HER
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
CHI
0 - 0
LEO
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
MUN
2 - 0
COA
52%
25%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
MUN
1 - 0
VEN
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
IZT
1 - 1
MUN
45%
28%
27%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
MUN
0 - 2
UNI
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
HER
1 - 1
MUN
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |