Marquense vs Municipal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+69%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
LEO
2 - 3
CHI
53%
24%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 1
LEO
38%
28%
33%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
HER
4 - 0
LEO
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
LEO
2 - 0
HAL
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
TOR
0 - 0
LEO
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
MUN
1 - 1
COM
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
MON
3 - 0
MUN
84%
12%
4%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 0
MUN
51%
25%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
MUN
2 - 1
CHO
43%
26%
31%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 1
MUN
36%
27%
37%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |