Marquense vs Municipal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
23.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
TOR
0 - 0
LEO
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
ZAC
1 - 0
LEO
50%
26%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
LEO
3 - 2
DEP
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
HER
2 - 0
LEO
57%
23%
19%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
LEO
0 - 0
VEN
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2012 |
MUN
3 - 0
ZAC
53%
24%
24%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
DEP
1 - 1
MUN
50%
25%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
MUN
4 - 2
HER
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
VEN
3 - 2
MUN
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
MUN
2 - 1
COM
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |