Marquense vs Mixco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
28.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
6º
10º
10º
12
6º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
13 | 27 |
1º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 25 |
2º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 25 |
3º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 25 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 24 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 24 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 24 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
12 | 23 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 20 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
|
9º
|
9 | 17 |
10º
|
26% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 15 |
11º
|
35% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 12 |
12º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
3% | 28% |
|
Mid-table
|
97% | 72% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
CHI
3 - 1
LEO
56%
26%
18%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
DJC
0 - 0
LEO
30%
24%
46%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
LEO
2 - 0
DJC
60%
20%
20%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
VEN
3 - 2
LEO
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2024 |
LEO
1 - 0
VEN
49%
23%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
MIX
0 - 0
MUN
39%
29%
33%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
MUN
2 - 0
MIX
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -2 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
MIX
0 - 0
MUN
41%
28%
31%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ANT
1 - 0
MIX
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
MIX
1 - 0
ANT
42%
28%
31%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |