Marquense vs Malacateco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
21.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
HAL
0 - 0
LEO
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
LEO
2 - 1
COA
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
LEO
1 - 1
MUN
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2014 |
VEN
1 - 1
LEO
56%
24%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
LEO
2 - 1
IZT
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Malacateco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
TOR
1 - 1
MUN
49%
27%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
VEN
3 - 1
TOR
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
TOR
2 - 0
IZT
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 1
TOR
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
TOR
1 - 0
HER
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |