Marquense vs Heredia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
23.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
LEO
2 - 0
TOR
52%
24%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
HAL
1 - 0
LEO
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ESC
2 - 1
LEO
41%
28%
31%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
LEO
1 - 1
VEN
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CON
1 - 0
LEO
44%
29%
28%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 0
HER
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
HER
2 - 2
MUN
55%
24%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
HER
2 - 1
UNI
59%
22%
19%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
HER
1 - 0
COM
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
HAL
2 - 0
HER
55%
23%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |