Marquense vs Guastatoya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
26.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
DEP
2 - 1
LEO
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
LEO
1 - 1
COB
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
VEN
3 - 1
LEO
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
LEO
2 - 0
VEN
47%
26%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2015 |
TOR
4 - 0
LEO
45%
28%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Guastatoya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 1
COM
46%
28%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
GUA
3 - 1
DEP
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
COB
0 - 0
GUA
41%
27%
31%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
ANT
2 - 0
GUA
41%
28%
31%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 1
ANT
44%
28%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |