Marquense vs Guastatoya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
12.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2014 |
ANT
0 - 1
LEO
24%
28%
48%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
LEO
2 - 1
CHI
51%
24%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2014 |
COM
5 - 0
LEO
53%
26%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
LEO
4 - 0
TOR
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
LEO
2 - 1
VEN
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Guastatoya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
GUA
3 - 0
VEN
22%
28%
50%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
COA
3 - 1
GUA
68%
20%
12%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 0
HAL
17%
25%
58%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | +2 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
MUN
2 - 1
GUA
76%
16%
8%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
GUA
3 - 2
UNI
15%
25%
60%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | +2 |