Marquense vs Cobán Imperial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
28.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
1º
9º
4º
10
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
11 | 33 |
1º
|
32% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 31 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 29 |
3º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
11 | 29 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
|
4º
|
10 | 28 |
5º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 27 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 26 |
7º
|
8% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 26 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 25 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 24 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 19 |
11º
|
38.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
82% | 84% |
|
Mid-table
|
18% | 16% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
LEO
0 - 0
ANT
40%
26%
34%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
COM
1 - 1
LEO
54%
25%
22%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
LEO
2 - 0
GUA
42%
28%
30%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
MIX
2 - 3
LEO
48%
29%
24%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
LEO
2 - 0
XIN
34%
27%
39%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Cobán Imperial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
COB
0 - 0
COM
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
GUA
4 - 0
COB
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
COB
2 - 0
MIX
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
XIN
1 - 2
COB
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
COB
1 - 0
TOR
43%
25%
32%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |