Maroons FC vs UPDF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
17.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maroons FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 0
MFC
33%
28%
39%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
MFC
5 - 0
GAD
55%
22%
24%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
AHS
1 - 3
MFC
42%
23%
35%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 1
VIP
44%
27%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
JIN
1 - 1
MFC
26%
25%
49%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
UPDF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2024 |
SCV
3 - 0
UPD
60%
22%
18%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2023 |
UPD
1 - 2
KCC
29%
26%
46%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
BRI
2 - 1
UPD
48%
25%
27%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2023 |
UPD
1 - 1
MCF
41%
26%
33%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2023 |
GAD
2 - 1
UPD
47%
23%
30%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |