Mármol Macael vs Utrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
8.5%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mármol Macael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1995 |
VEL
0 - 0
MMA
38%
30%
33%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1995 |
MMA
1 - 1
CCF
39%
28%
34%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1995 |
BET
5 - 1
MMA
57%
25%
19%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 1995 |
YEC
1 - 0
MMA
52%
27%
21%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1995 |
MMA
0 - 3
CAD
62%
22%
17%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Utrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1995 |
UTR
1 - 0
YEC
25%
29%
46%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1995 |
CAD
2 - 0
UTR
74%
18%
8%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1995 |
UTR
0 - 2
REC
26%
29%
45%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1995 |
NOV
2 - 0
UTR
59%
25%
16%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1995 |
UTR
0 - 0
POL
29%
28%
43%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | +1 |