Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 6-5
Mármol Macael vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.9%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
24.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mármol Macael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1993 |
MEL
1 - 3
MMA
67%
22%
11%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1993 |
MMA
4 - 0
GUA
68%
19%
13%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 1993 |
GUA
2 - 0
MMA
46%
28%
26%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -2 |
| 23 May. 1993 |
MAL
1 - 0
MMA
75%
16%
9%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1993 |
MMA
4 - 0
GUA
69%
20%
11%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1993 |
MEL
1 - 3
MMA
67%
22%
11%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1993 |
POL
1 - 2
MEL
46%
29%
26%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1993 |
MEL
3 - 1
POL
61%
23%
16%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1993 |
MEL
2 - 0
XER
26%
34%
40%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1993 |
POL
0 - 0
MEL
54%
28%
18%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |