Mármol Macael vs Lorca CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
16.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mármol Macael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1996 |
XER
0 - 0
MMA
67%
21%
12%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
MMA
3 - 2
MEL
45%
28%
27%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
BEN
1 - 0
MMA
48%
30%
23%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1996 |
MMA
2 - 2
ELC
29%
28%
43%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1996 |
UTR
0 - 0
MMA
35%
30%
36%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Lorca CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1996 |
LOR
0 - 1
YEC
45%
26%
30%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
CAD
1 - 0
LOR
65%
21%
14%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
LOR
1 - 1
REC
45%
26%
30%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1996 |
NOV
2 - 0
LOR
52%
25%
23%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1996 |
LOR
3 - 1
POL
42%
26%
32%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | +2 |