Mármol Macael vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
10.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mármol Macael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1995 |
XER
0 - 0
MMA
61%
24%
15%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1995 |
MMA
1 - 2
YEC
49%
27%
24%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1995 |
CFC
0 - 2
MMA
57%
26%
17%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1995 |
MMA
4 - 2
POL
55%
24%
21%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1995 |
GRA
2 - 2
MMA
61%
23%
15%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1995 |
SFE
0 - 0
ECI
31%
30%
38%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1995 |
SRQ
2 - 1
SFE
47%
30%
24%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1995 |
SFE
0 - 1
BET
47%
27%
26%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 1995 |
SFE
1 - 2
XER
35%
28%
36%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1995 |
SFE
1 - 1
TAL
44%
28%
28%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |