Mármol Macael vs Cádiz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mármol Macael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1995 |
REC
0 - 2
MMA
58%
25%
17%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1995 |
MMA
5 - 1
NOV
72%
18%
10%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1995 |
POL
1 - 1
MMA
52%
26%
22%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1995 |
MMA
2 - 2
SEV
43%
27%
29%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1995 |
RJA
1 - 1
MMA
63%
23%
14%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Cádiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1995 |
CAD
0 - 0
YEC
45%
28%
27%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1995 |
BET
1 - 1
CAD
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1995 |
REC
4 - 0
CAD
55%
24%
21%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1995 |
CAD
1 - 0
NOV
69%
20%
11%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1995 |
POL
1 - 0
CAD
44%
26%
30%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |