Mármol Macael vs Almería analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
36.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mármol Macael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1995 |
MEL
1 - 1
MMA
38%
32%
30%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1995 |
MMA
1 - 4
BET
56%
24%
20%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 1995 |
MMA
0 - 0
ECI
48%
27%
25%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1995 |
SRQ
1 - 1
MMA
39%
31%
30%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1995 |
MMA
2 - 1
SFE
71%
19%
10%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1995 |
ALM
3 - 0
ECI
58%
25%
17%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1995 |
SRQ
1 - 3
ALM
23%
29%
49%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1995 |
ALM
2 - 1
SFE
76%
17%
7%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1995 |
XER
0 - 1
ALM
42%
28%
30%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1995 |
ALM
3 - 0
YEC
56%
25%
19%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |