Mármol Macael vs Almería analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
33.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mármol Macael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1993 |
REA
3 - 1
MMA
71%
19%
11%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1993 |
MMA
3 - 2
CPC
36%
30%
34%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 1993 |
UDL
1 - 1
MMA
78%
16%
7%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1993 |
MMA
1 - 1
REC
38%
29%
33%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1993 |
MMA
0 - 1
CDM
41%
29%
30%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1993 |
ALM
0 - 0
XER
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1993 |
CCF
2 - 1
ALM
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1993 |
ALM
0 - 1
GRA
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1993 |
ECI
1 - 0
ALM
37%
29%
35%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1993 |
ALM
1 - 1
POL
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |