Marly vs Thierrens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
63.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
BER
1 - 1
MAR
73%
16%
11%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 4
SEC
12%
18%
70%
|
13 | 29 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Thierrens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
THI
2 - 1
LYS
59%
21%
21%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
POR
1 - 1
THI
50%
24%
26%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
OST
2 - 2
THI
35%
23%
42%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
THI
3 - 2
TPA
48%
23%
29%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
LYS
2 - 0
THI
41%
24%
35%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |