Marly vs Bulle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.6%
15%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
75.8%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.4%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2016 |
GRU
2 - 4
MAR
71%
16%
12%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 2
FAR
27%
21%
52%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2016 |
COL
2 - 2
MAR
81%
12%
7%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 5
ECH
17%
19%
64%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 3
BER
39%
22%
39%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Bulle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2016 |
BUL
2 - 2
LYS
86%
11%
4%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
POR
2 - 1
BUL
30%
24%
47%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
BUL
4 - 0
LOC
86%
10%
5%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
BUL
2 - 1
TPA
84%
11%
5%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
THI
1 - 1
BUL
13%
19%
67%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |