Markranstädt vs Erzgebirge Aue II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Markranstädt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
MAR
3 - 0
DYN
65%
20%
15%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ROT
1 - 3
MAR
25%
24%
51%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
EIN
78%
14%
8%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
VFL
1 - 4
MAR
19%
24%
57%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 2
CAR
70%
19%
11%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2015 |
ERZ
2 - 1
RBL
23%
24%
53%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2015 |
DYN
3 - 0
ERZ
38%
25%
36%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -3 |
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
ERZ
2 - 0
LOK
25%
26%
49%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | +5 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ROT
2 - 1
ERZ
46%
24%
30%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
EIN
0 - 1
ERZ
29%
23%
49%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |