Mark Stars vs Iberia Tbilisi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.5%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.5%
5.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mark Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
HER
1 - 3
MAR
31%
24%
44%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2014 |
DUR
3 - 4
MAR
37%
25%
38%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2014 |
MAR
5 - 1
ABU
71%
17%
12%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2013 |
FGT
2 - 2
MAR
24%
24%
52%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2013 |
MAR
5 - 0
IVE
78%
14%
8%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Iberia Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
IBE
0 - 2
ABU
18%
20%
62%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2014 |
RUS
2 - 0
IBE
75%
15%
10%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2013 |
IBE
1 - 3
IVE
13%
19%
69%
|
20 | 47 | 27 | -2 |
| 11 Dec. 2013 |
IBE
0 - 6
ADU
30%
23%
48%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -2 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
ALA
2 - 0
IBE
79%
14%
7%
|
22 | 51 | 29 | 0 |