Mark Stars vs Hereti Tchabukiani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
9.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mark Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
ABU
1 - 4
MAR
20%
22%
58%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
IVE
0 - 3
MAR
35%
23%
42%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 1
ACH
69%
17%
14%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2014 |
DUR
3 - 5
MAR
22%
22%
56%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2014 |
ALG
0 - 1
MAR
10%
18%
72%
|
51 | 18 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Hereti Tchabukiani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
HER
1 - 0
ALA
24%
22%
54%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2014 |
TEL
3 - 0
HER
59%
20%
21%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
HER
0 - 1
ADU
44%
24%
32%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2014 |
IVE
1 - 2
HER
34%
22%
44%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
ABU
4 - 0
HER
36%
25%
39%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -5 |