Mark Stars vs Duruji analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
7.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mark Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2016 |
ADU
0 - 1
MAR
60%
20%
20%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 3
ALA
41%
23%
36%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
ACH
1 - 3
MAR
41%
24%
36%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 0
SKO
69%
17%
14%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2015 |
MAR
7 - 0
PAR
86%
10%
4%
|
52 | 22 | 30 | +1 |
Matches
Duruji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2016 |
DUR
2 - 0
HER
63%
18%
19%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
MET
0 - 3
DUR
49%
20%
31%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
DUR
6 - 0
TSK
25%
22%
54%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +3 |
| 07 Mar. 2016 |
IVE
3 - 1
DUR
71%
17%
12%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2015 |
STU
7 - 3
DUR
80%
12%
8%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |