Durban City vs Venda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
18%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durban City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
MAR
1 - 0
KRU
70%
19%
11%
|
67 | 19 | 48 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
LLF
0 - 2
MAR
7%
15%
78%
|
67 | 8 | 59 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
CST
1 - 0
MAR
42%
28%
31%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
MAR
4 - 2
HLF
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
MIL
1 - 2
MAR
24%
27%
50%
|
66 | 32 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Venda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
VFA
5 - 1
BAR
28%
29%
43%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
VFA
1 - 3
AJA
36%
27%
37%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
MIL
1 - 0
VFA
20%
23%
58%
|
58 | 32 | 26 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
VFA
2 - 0
BLA
43%
27%
31%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
VFA
1 - 2
HIG
68%
20%
12%
|
57 | 15 | 42 | 0 |