Durban City vs Pretoria University analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
22.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durban City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 2
PIR
31%
29%
40%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2012 |
AJA
1 - 0
MAR
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 1
PLS
46%
28%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
SWA
1 - 3
MAR
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 0
SSU
33%
28%
39%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Pretoria University
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 1
PRE
65%
22%
12%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
PRE
1 - 0
CHI
43%
28%
30%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
BID
0 - 0
PRE
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
PRE
1 - 2
BLA
47%
26%
26%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
FRE
0 - 0
PRE
61%
23%
17%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |