Maritzburg United vs Paarl United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.2%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
11%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11%
4.8%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maritzburg United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
MIL
0 - 0
MAR
20%
25%
55%
|
65 | 18 | 47 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2024 |
CST
3 - 3
MAR
43%
28%
29%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 2
BAR
51%
26%
23%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 2
BLA
70%
19%
10%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
MIL
3 - 3
MAR
40%
30%
30%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |