Durban City vs Orlando Pirates analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
36.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durban City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2010 |
MPU
1 - 0
MAR
40%
28%
33%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
MAR
1 - 0
GOL
40%
28%
32%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2010 |
COS
0 - 0
MAR
35%
30%
36%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 1
SWA
43%
26%
32%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2009 |
SUN
1 - 0
MAR
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Orlando Pirates
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
GAB
0 - 0
PIR
23%
25%
52%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2010 |
PIR
2 - 0
AMA
58%
25%
17%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
BID
0 - 0
PIR
35%
29%
36%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
PIR
0 - 0
SSU
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 0
PIR
40%
30%
30%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |