Durban City vs Orlando Pirates analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
42%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durban City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 1
BID
46%
27%
27%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 2
MAR
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 0
SAN
32%
28%
40%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
MAR
3 - 2
THA
42%
24%
35%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
POL
1 - 2
MAR
48%
27%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Orlando Pirates
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
BLO
1 - 1
PIR
36%
28%
36%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
BLO
2 - 1
PIR
31%
26%
44%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
THA
0 - 2
PIR
26%
28%
46%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
PIR
2 - 0
SSU
43%
27%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
PIR
2 - 0
SUN
46%
29%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |